{"id":274928,"date":"2020-11-11T02:54:20","date_gmt":"2020-11-11T07:54:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/?p=274928"},"modified":"2020-11-11T02:54:20","modified_gmt":"2020-11-11T07:54:20","slug":"what-a-biden-presidency-means-for-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/2020\/11\/11\/what-a-biden-presidency-means-for-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"What a Biden presidency means for Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_230794\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-230794\" style=\"width: 960px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Joe-Biden.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-230794\" src=\"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Joe-Biden.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"638\" srcset=\"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Joe-Biden.jpg 960w, https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Joe-Biden-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Joe-Biden-768x510.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-230794\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Biden, too, appears keen to repair America\u2019s reputation globally. But in doing so, he may use the opportunity to renegotiate some key terms. (File <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/joebiden\/photos\/a.10150487089926104\/10156175950676104\/?type=3&amp;amp;theater\">photo<\/a>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/joebiden\/\">Joe Biden\/Facebook<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Hopes are high in the European Union that Joe Biden will rapidly get to work on a substantive global \u201cto-do\u201d list when he takes over as US president in January. This includes a renewed commitment to multilateralism and specific assurances on NATO and the UN \u2013 plus re-entry to the Paris Climate Agreement and the Iranian nuclear accord.<\/p>\n<p>EU officials were quick to congratulate Biden, confident of being able to work more positively with him than with Trump. From the EU\u2019s perspective, Trump has proved contentious at best and obstructive at worst. He has made life difficult in virtually every policy area, from security to climate change.<\/p>\n<p>Anti-establishment politicians in Hungary, Poland, Italy will miss the master of \u201cmegaphone diplomacy\u201d \u2013 and populist trends on either side of the Atlantic are not likely to disappear overnight \u2013 but the majority of EU leaders are likely to work fruitfully with the Biden administration.<\/p>\n<p>Biden, too, appears keen to repair America\u2019s reputation globally. But in doing so, he may use the opportunity to renegotiate some key terms. He may want to discuss NATO\u2019s budget and have terms for re-engaging with the Paris Climate Agreement, the World Trade Organization and the World Health Organization. These are all matters of great important to Europe.<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/united-states\/2020-01-23\/why-america-must-lead-again%5D\">his own words<\/a>, Biden is determined to \u201celevate diplomacy as the United States\u2019 principal tool of foreign policy\u201d. Some of his suggestions to \u201cplace the United States back at the head of the table\u201d, working with allies, are likely to go down well. The EU in particular will be supportive of Biden\u2019s determination to host a global democracy summit, and to push back against authoritarianism and corruption, while advancing human rights.<\/p>\n<p>Other goals may find fewer fans, including a \u201cforeign policy for the middle class\u201d. This concept is based on restoring the US\u2019 lead in the global economy, itself predicated on talking tough on tariffs with China and possibly the EU.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of an EU reset, however, the tone is positive. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen has already spoken of a \u201crenewed partnership\u201d between the two sides when congratulating Biden on his result.<\/p>\n<div data-react-class=\"Tweet\" data-react-props=\"{&quot;tweetId&quot;:&quot;1325413292697907200&quot;}\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">I look forward to working with President-elect <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoeBiden?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@JoeBiden<\/a> &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KamalaHarris?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@KamalaHarris<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We have pressing challenges to address: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/COVID19?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#COVID19<\/a>, climate change, the rules for a new digital world, global security &amp; reforming our rules-based multilateral system.<\/p>\n<p>Together, we can do it. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/10Kt6Ufkju\">pic.twitter.com\/10Kt6Ufkju<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ursula von der Leyen (@vonderleyen) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/vonderleyen\/status\/1325413292697907200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 8, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<p>German chancellor Angela Merkel and French president Emmanuel Macron are also poised to enjoy warmer bilateral relations as well as improved attitudes regarding NATO\u2019s development. For Macron and Merkel in particular, a Biden presidency promises not only renewed support for multilateralism in general but specific attention to precisely how the EU-US partnership can make headway on key global goals, including climate change.<\/p>\n<p>It is the Republic of Ireland, however, that may benefit the most from the change in administration. Biden has spoken frequently and proudly of his Irish roots and publicly lamented Brexit\u2019s various impacts, from concerns over the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/brexit-why-us-politicians-are-opposed-to-boris-johnsons-latest-move-145980\">Good Friday Agreement<\/a> to broader European relations with the UK. Ireland may therefore find itself in a unique position as Brexit interlocutor between the White House, the UK and the EU, replacing the bridge-building role that the UK has traditionally held.<\/p>\n<h2>Johnson\u2019s \u2018special\u2019 relationship<\/h2>\n<p>Biden\u2019s election is also a welcome development for EU officials in Brussels. They hope he will put real pressure on the UK government to strike a deal swiftly with the EU, and then reset UK-EU relations. Both demands will be a challenge for the UK.<\/p>\n<p>A series of personal tensions and political antipathies could undermine initial attempts to jump start the US-UK \u201cspecial relationship\u201d under Biden. Missteps by UK prime minister Boris Johnson, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/boris-johnson-insulted-obama-clinton\/\">rudeness about former president Barack Obama and former secretary of state Hillary Clinton<\/a>, will not endear him to the new president.<\/p>\n<p>More importantly, Trump was a vocal supporter of Johnson and an enthusiast for both Brexit and pro-Brexit parties. Johnson routinely and publicly returned the favour, remaining largely supportive of Trump, albeit not of all of his policies. In the closing stages of the election campaign, Biden made clear that US attitudes to the UK rely almost entirely on two things.<\/p>\n<p>First, the UK\u2019s ability to build bridges with the EU, both diplomatically and through trade. While Trump and Johnson shared a deep-seated aversion to the EU, Biden \u201cdeeply regrets the UK\u2019s exit from the EU\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Second, a more judicious handling of the Irish border question. While recent and highly contentious changes by the British government to the agreed EU-UK withdrawal agreement went largely unnoticed by the Trump administration, the potential impact on the Good Friday Agreement was a matter of real concern for Biden and the Democrats alike. A UK deal with the EU \u2013 albeit a thin one \u2013 is ultimately on the cards. But to win Biden\u2019s trust, Johnson will need to overcome deep-seated distrust with the new US administration.<\/p>\n<p>For 2021, talk of US trade deals \u2013 itself possibly premature \u2013 will likely be tilted towards the EU rather than the UK. Common ground will have to be found elsewhere. Happily, the UK has three prime opportunities in 2021 to provide serious leadership on the world stage alongside the US. These include the the rotating presidency of the UN Security Council in February, hosting the delayed COP26 UN climate summit in November, and the rotating G7 presidency for all of 2021.<\/p>\n<p>All three are excellent forums in which the UK can relaunch its own post-Brexit foreign policy goals while simultaneously supporting Biden\u2019s objectives \u201cof renewing alliances between democracies, strengthening international institutions within the UN and taking action on climate change\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>International relations are overdue a period of stability. It\u2019s up to Johnson to establish his post-Brexit diplomatic credentials and to build a new set of relations with the US \u2013 and it\u2019s up to all his European counterparts to work alongside Biden in getting to work on the global to-do list.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: none !important;margin: 0 !important;max-height: 1px !important;max-width: 1px !important;min-height: 1px !important;min-width: 1px !important;padding: 0 !important\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/149696\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/amelia-hadfield-742306\">Amelia Hadfield<\/a>, Head of Department of Politics, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-surrey-1201\">University of Surrey<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/christian-turner-1176242\">Christian Turner<\/a>, Junior Fellow, Centre for Britian and Europe, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-surrey-1201\">University of Surrey<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-a-biden-presidency-means-for-europe-149696\">original article<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hopes are high in the European Union that Joe Biden will rapidly get to work on a substantive global \u201cto-do\u201d &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":230794,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-274928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","category-news-w","mauthors-amelia-hadfield-university-of-surrey","mauthors-christian-turner-university-of-surrey","mauthors-the-conversation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=274928"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274928\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":274932,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274928\/revisions\/274932"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/230794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=274928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=274928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=274928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}