{"id":135150,"date":"2017-11-30T02:42:32","date_gmt":"2017-11-30T07:42:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/?p=135150"},"modified":"2017-11-30T02:42:32","modified_gmt":"2017-11-30T07:42:32","slug":"study-europes-muslim-population-to-grow-migration-or-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/2017\/11\/30\/study-europes-muslim-population-to-grow-migration-or-not\/","title":{"rendered":"Study: Europe’s Muslim population to grow, migration or not"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"The<\/a>
The study estimates 58.8 million Muslims would account for 11.2 per cent of the population in a \u201cmedium migration\u201d scenario that has migration maintaining a \u201cregular speed\u201d \u2014 defined by the Pew researchers as migration motivated by economic, educational and family reasons \u2014 but not for seeking asylum as a refugee. (Photo<\/a> by ekaterina vladinova\/Flickr<\/a>, Public Domain)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BERLIN \u2014 Europe’s Muslim population will continue to grow over the next several decades even if all\u00a0immigration\u00a0to the continent should stop, according to a study published Thursday.<\/p>\n

The Pew Research Center report modeled three scenarios for estimating the number of Muslims who would be living in Europe by 2050. All three used a mid-2016 estimate of 25.8 million as a baseline, but assumed different future migration rates.<\/p>\n

Under the \u201czero migration\u201d scenario, an estimated 30 million Muslims would make up 7.4 per cent of Europe’s population by 2050 compared to the 4.9 per cent they comprised last year, the report projected. The researchers said that is mostly because Muslims are on average 13 years younger than other Europeans and also have a higher birthrate, the Pew researchers said.<\/p>\n

The study estimates 58.8 million Muslims would account for 11.2 per cent of the population in a \u201cmedium migration\u201d scenario that has migration maintaining a \u201cregular speed\u201d \u2014 defined by the Pew researchers as migration motivated by economic, educational and family reasons \u2014 but not for seeking asylum as a refugee.<\/p>\n

In the \u201chigh migration\u201d scenario, the study projects that the record flow of migrants who came to Europe between 2015 and 2016 would continue indefinitely, resulting in 75 million Muslims in Europe, a 14 per cent increase, by the middle of the century.<\/p>\n

Even with the most\u00a0immigration, Muslims would \u201cstill be considerably smaller than the populations of both Christians and people with no religion in Europe,\u201d the researchers concluded.<\/p>\n

Muslim immigrants have been a politically sensitive topic in Europe following the influx of newcomers in 2015 and 2016. Some countries have seen backlashes that have included populist parties campaigning on anti-Islam messages.<\/p>\n

The study was based on census and survey data, population registers,\u00a0immigration\u00a0data and other sources. The 30 countries it covered include the 28 European Union members, plus Norway and Switzerland.<\/p>\n

Not all countries would be affected evenly by future\u00a0immigration, according to the Pew report. In the high migration scenario, Germany and Sweden would have the biggest increases because both countries took in the most asylum-seekers during the height of the refugee crisis two years ago.<\/p>\n

While Muslims made up 6 per cent of Germany’s population last year, their proportion would go up to 20 per cent by 2050. Sweden’s Muslims, who were at 8 per cent in 2016, would account for 31 per cent of the population in that same scenario.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, some countries that had comparatively few Muslim residents in 2016 would continue to have few by 2050 in all three scenarios.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BERLIN \u2014 Europe’s Muslim population will continue to grow over the next several decades even if all\u00a0immigration\u00a0to the continent should …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":135151,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1241,36261,36260],"class_list":["post-135150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-immigration","tag-europe","tag-migration","tag-muslim-population","mauthors-kirsten-grieshaber","mauthors-the-associated-press"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/33"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135150\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/135151"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadianinquirer.net\/v1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}